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The Extrapolation Conundrum

Jake Daghe
8 min readMay 20, 2019

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Why we draw large conclusions from small sample sizes and how it affects our leadership.

Photo by Virgil Cayasa on Unsplash

This year, I have been listening to more audiobooks as a form of diversifying my learning and sourcing inputs of knowledge that I wouldn’t traditionally have or make space for. If you missed my most recent article on How to Learn Deeply Daily, you’ll want to open that article before you do anything else and flag it to go back and read. That article is all my methods for how I learn, going deeper into what it means to diversify learning inputs and the benefits of shifting our methods as we all are bombarded by how much content we are absorbing. I usually wouldn’t push a previous article as much as this, but I really, really believe in these practices so make sure you check it out.

Back to audiobooks — I’ve listened to a handful of books this year that have been fascinating (Educated by Tara Westover, Open by Andre Agassi, Originals by Adam Grant, or Team of Rivals by Doris Kearns Goodwin to name a few). But one book that has really stood out this year, not only for its challenging content but mainly for its storytelling was The Undoing Project by Michael Lewis. In this book, Lewis gives a detailed account of the lives and research of Israeli psychologists Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky, the former of which went on to win a Noble Prize in Economics in 2002.

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Jake Daghe
Jake Daghe

Written by Jake Daghe

Creative Engineer writing working hypotheses | I write what I wish I could have read when I was younger | Join my newsletter ‘I/Q Crew’ on Substack.

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